Automated Forex Trading – First Look

In a previous post, I wrote about how automated forex trading can help remove the emotion and requirement to constantly watch the forex markets.  One product that I listed was FXCM’s Forex System Selector, which is a web based automated trading tool that allows the user to select one or more trading systems, and have them automatically traded against an account.

I’ve now had an opportunity to start using this, and this article is about my first impressions of the product, and some of the systems on offer, and what a trader should know about the product.

At present, the markets are closed so I can’t comment on how it performs in real life, but we shall soon see since it is now running against a demo account.

Firstly, I would recommend viewing the video about the product before starting to use it.  It is not self explanatory, and there is no wizard or similar step by step guide.  That said, it is not difficult to use once you understand the concepts.  Essentially, you choose several trading systems from the large number on offer, set parameters for the systems (overriding stop losses and money allocation rules), then check the effect on the historical equity curve.

You should aim for an equity curve that is as smooth as possible, particularly without large drawdowns.

A number of the systems on offer are not suitable for trading.  Some of them have massive drawdowns (thousands of pips), or just lose money.  You cannot expect to pick some at random and magically become a millionaire – you need to understand what to look for.  Other systems have very few trades to evaluate historical performance against.  Overall, many systems do not have a historical record going back for more than a few months.  Trade Robot is better in this respect in that some of the system track records go back several years.

I chose my systems based on Profit Factor (which is a column on the systems report) – the higher the profit factor, the better.  At the same time, I eliminated some systems with huge drawdowns, or very low profitability per trade.  Generally, this seems to return some reasonable systems.  I selected 10 systems trading the following currency pairs:

  • GBP/USD
  • NZD/USD
  • AUD/NZD
  • CHF/JPY
  • EUR/JPY
  • USD/CAD
  • GBP/JPY

The next step is to see how the systems perform together.  The idea is to obtain diversification through the systems using different parameters and trading a range of uncorrelated currencies.  You can do this by looking at the equity curve chart.  The one for the systems I chose looks like this:

Equity curve hypothetical from selected systems

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